Friday, November 30, 2007
"Moving on Up to the Top"
www.rasmussenreports.com
"...a virtual three-way tie for second place...."
Mitt Romney 34%
Rudy Giuliani 15%
John McCain 15%
Mike Huckabee 14%
Ron Paul 8%
Fred Thompson 3%
Tom Tancredo 1%
Duncan Hunter 1%
In the last two weeks, polls have revealed that Mike Huckabee is:
1st in Iowa,
2nd in Florida,
2nd in Texas,
2nd in the Nation,
2nd/3rd in New Hampshire.
At this rate, Mike Huckabee might just win the Republican nomination....
Thursday, November 29, 2007
LOOK AT THAT BLACK LINE!
by John McIntyre
(bold and italics McIntyre's)
"...[A]t roughly 10-1 to win the Republican nomination (he is trading in 3rd place at 11.7 at Intrade) I like [Huckabee's] odds to be the GOP nominee.
The GOP race is usually characterized as either a two-person contest (Giuliani vs. Romney) or a wide open field among the five viable candidates (Giuliani, Romney, Thompson, Huckabee and McCain). However, what we are fast approaching is a three-man race between Huckabee, Romney and Giuliani.
In general this is very bad news for Mitt Romney. A strongly viable Huckabee will steal voters Romney has to have to be able to beat Giuliani as the primary calendar moves into the post-New Hampshire contests...
What we have developing is Huckabee stepping in and filling the void in the GOP field that was available to Thompson in the summer - a void that his inept campaign has been unable to fill. So perhaps instead of the Tennessean sinking the Romney campaign it could very well be the Arkansan.
For the Romney campaign the silver lining in Huckabee's move into the first tier -- and it is not an unimportant silver lining -- is that Huckabee has totally shaken up the expectations for Iowa on the GOP side. Because of this resetting of expectations in December, if Romney is able to hold off Huckabee in Iowa it will be a huge win for his campaign...
However, what has to make the Romney campaign very nervous is this chart in Iowa.
Intrade now has Huckabee at 55.1 and Romney at 38.0. Those markets are correctly pricing the race. Romney is now the underdog in Iowa.
An important signal to watch for over the next month will be whether Huckabee overtakes Romney in the national polls leading up to Iowa. If that were to happen concurrently with Huckabee continuing to head toward a win in Iowa that would be an important tell that Republican voters are moving toward ultimately a Huckabee vs. Giuliani showdown.
Giuliani remains the favorite, but at 10-1 odds that would be a showdown that Mike Huckabee might just be able to win.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/realclearpolitics/20071129/cm_rcp/huckabee_is_for_realHuckabee Outshines Opponents
Romney Battles, Huckabee Shines In GOP Debate
"...Huckabee, who has distinguished himself in the debates all year, turned in the strongest performance of the evening at a time when he’s beginning to become a force in the race. Time and time again, Huckabee stood out, giving thoughtful and eloquent answers to questions about immigration, taxes, the death penalty and the Bible, which for an ordained Baptist minister is a familiar subject. He also once again delivered the best punch lines...."
Wednesday, November 28, 2007
America Likes Mike
Like a phoenix, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee has exploded from the ashes of obscurity, and soared into the sunlit heavens of national awareness. Largely overlooked by the media just weeks ago, Mike Huckabee has become this campaign cycle's most exciting story.
A recent Zogby survey found that Huckabee would beat Hillary by a wider margin than any of the other leading Republican candidates if the general election were held today.
Huckabee is shining with equal strength at the state level. Rasmussen now shows he's FIRST IN IOWA. He's SECOND IN TEXAS, he's SECOND IN FLORIDA, and his numbers are climbing elsewhere.
Huckabee has done this with relatively little money, and limited previous name recognition. Romney has outspent him in Iowa by at least 1000%, and still can't keep Huckabee off his heels. Fred Thompson has all the fame and notoriety a fella could ask for, but finds his ride to the White House stalling on the shoulder while Huckabee blazes by in the passing lane. What's up? (besides Huckabee's poll numbers, that is)
America likes Mike. They like his message, they like his manner, they like the man. For all his faults and failings, he seems to be a pretty nice guy who genuinely stands for things that most Americans still cherish: faith, family, life, and liberty. And more than just stand for them, he can communicate them! "Finally," many conservatives are saying to themselves, "a Republican candidate who has convictions, and who can speak intelligently and persuasively about them."
It's true, the jury is still out on what will become of Mike Huckabee's run for the presidency. The next few weeks will likely be very telling. But all indications, right now, are that this dark horse is a force to be reckoned with, and may just be the candidate that conservatives have been hoping for.
Huckabee has experienced a surge in support after each of the recent televised debates. He hopes the same will happen after tonight. If he performs as well as he has in the past, it likely will. Check him out tonight on the CNN/YouTube Debate, and let me know what you think.
Tuesday, November 27, 2007
Huckabee 2nd in Florida
http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/storylink_1127_50.aspx
Rudy Giuliani (26%)
Mike Huckabee (17%)
John McCain (13%)
Mitt Romney (12%)
Fred Thompson (9%)
Ron Paul (3%)
Duncan Hunter (1%)
Tom Tancredo (1%)
Undecided (18%)
Zogby Poll: Huckabee Beats Hillary
http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews2.dbm?ID=1393
| 11/26/2007 | 7/14/2007 | 5/17/2007 |
| 38% | 45% | 43% |
McCain | 42% | 43% | 47% |
| 11/26/2007 | 7/14/2007 | 5/17/2007 |
| 40% | 46% | 43% |
Giuliani | 43% | 41% | 48% |
| 11/26/2007 | 7/14/2007 | 5/17/2007 |
| 40% | 48% | 48% |
Romney | 43% | 38% | 40% |
| 11/26/2007 | 7/14/2007 | 5/17/2007 |
| 39% | N/A | N/A |
Huckabee | 44% | N/A | N/A |
| 11/26/2007 | 7/14/2007 | 5/17/2007 |
| 40% | 47% | 48% |
Thompson | 44% | 41% | 41% |
| 11/26/2007 | 7/14/2007 | 5/17/2007 |
Obama | 45% | 45% | 46% |
McCain | 38% | 42% | 43% |
| 11/26/2007 | 7/14/2007 | 5/17/2007 |
Obama | 46% | 46% | 48% |
Giuliani | 41% | 42% | 42% |
| 11/26/2007 | 7/14/2007 | 5/17/2007 |
Obama | 46% | 49% | 52% |
Romney | 40% | 35% | 35% |
| 11/26/2007 | 7/14/2007 | 5/17/2007 |
Obama | 46% | N/A | N/A |
Huckabee | 40% | N/A | N/A |
| 11/26/2007 | 7/14/2007 | 5/17/2007 |
Obama | 47% | 48% | 52% |
Thompson | 40% | 40% | 35% |
| 11/26/2007 | 7/14/2007 | 5/17/2007 |
Edwards | 42% | 43% | 41% |
McCain | 42% | 43% | 46% |
| 11/26/2007 | 7/14/2007 | 5/17/2007 |
Edwards | 44% | 43% | 43% |
Giuliani | 43% | 46% | 47% |
| 11/26/2007 | 7/14/2007 | 5/17/2007 |
Edwards | 44% | 47% | 50% |
Romney | 42% | 38% | 36% |
| 11/26/2007 | 7/14/2007 | 5/17/2007 |
Edwards | 43% | N/A | N/A |
Huckabee | 42% | N/A | N/A |
| 11/26/2007 | 7/14/2007 | 5/17/2007 |
Edwards | 45% | 46% | 48% |
Thompson | 42% | 40% | 40% |
Monday, November 26, 2007
Straight from the Huckabee's Mouth
1. The Governor deeply appreciates the work of the bloggers, as we are a main reason he has been able to perform so well throughout the nation with limited resources.
2. There are over 400 blogs for Huckabee (which means I account for less than .0025% of the Huckabee blogosphere. hmm...).
3. www.techpresident.com has an article entitled "Mike Huckabee is Running the Best Web Campaign" (viewable on Mike's blog: www.mikehuckabee.com) that discusses how Mike Huckabee's site is being more effectively used than his opponents', and is getting more traffic than Hillary's or Obama's.
4. Huckabee is tied for 2nd nationally in the Rasmussen daily tracking poll (as of 11/21).
5. The current tax burden (considering ALL current taxes, presumably: income, sales, etc.) for the average American is 33%; by implementing the FairTax (fairtax.org), Mike proposes to reduce that load to 23%.
6. Information on the Fairtax is available at fairtax.org, as well as in book form: The Fairtax Book: Saying Goodbye to the Income Tax and the IRS and Fairtax: The Truth: Answering the Critics, both co-authored by Boortz and Linder.
7. After the famed Huck and Chuck ad came out, the Huckabee website was inundated with traffic. During this cyber deluge, hackers tried to get into the site. But the firewalls held. The site was saved.
8. While governor of Arkansas, Mike Huckabee supported permitting high school students (who had been in the public school system for at least four years, had high marks, and were in the process of applying for citizenship) to receive scholarship money. Contrary to his critics' claims, however, this in no way affected available funds for citizen students--THERE WAS NO LIMIT TO THE NUMBER OF SCHOLARSHIPS THAT COULD BE AWARDED at the time. In the end, the bill was proposed, but not passed.
9. Team Huckabee is taking measures to ensure that the official website is ready for the huge number of contributions that will likely follow a victory in Iowa on January 3.
10. Fred Thompson issued SIX NEGATIVE PRESS RELEASES against Mike before 10 AM, yesterday morning. "Amazing," Mike observed, as this is the most energy we've seen out of the Thompson campaign since it started. =)
Sunday, November 25, 2007
Mr. Romney: Be Afraid, Be Very Afraid
Friday, November 23, 2007
Forbes Forecasts Fred's Fall
An exceptional excerpt...
Huckabee Rising
by John Bruner
http://blogs.forbes.com/trailwatch/2007/11/huckabee-rising.html
Back on Aug. 1, Huckabee was about even with Ron Paul in the polls, both of them languishing.... Things are different now, as a glance at the graph below reveals.
Huckabee’s rise is significant; a quick statistical test suggests that there’s less than a 1 in 1,000 chance that his recent trend is due to random variation in polls. He has gained, on average, 0.07 percentage points per day since Aug. 1 (that’s a little over half the rate at which Thompson has lost support since Sept. 12, when he may have reached his political zenith on the national level).
At their rates of change since Sept. 12, Huckabee would surpass Thompson in popularity before the end of the year—on Dec. 13, by my calculations...."
Thursday, November 22, 2007
Huckabee Skyrockets, Thompson Plummets
www.hitwise.com
| ||
---|---|---|
1. | www.ronpaul2008.com | 42.85% |
2. | www.mikehuckabee.com | 25.91% |
3. | www.fred08.com | 6.89% |
4. | www.mittromney.com | 6.82% |
5. | www.joinrudy2008.com | 5.61% |
6. | www.johnmccain.com | 5.44% |
7. | www.teamtancredo.org | 3.91% |
8. | www.gohunter08.com | 2.57% |
Wednesday, November 21, 2007
Huckabee on the Rise
Mike Huckabee is on the rise...in Iowa, Texas, and across the Nation! Just look at what some of the latest polls reveal:
Washington Post - ABC News Poll (Iowa) (11/18/07):
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postpoll_112007.html
Romney: 28%
Huckabee: 24%
Thompson: 15%
Giuliani: 13%
IVR Poll (Texas) (11/17/07):
http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008/polls/Texas-November-2007.html
Giuliani: 23%
Huckabee: 16%
Thompson: 16%
Romney: 12%
McCain: 9%
Rasmussen Daily Tracker Poll (National) (11/21/07):
http://www.rasmussenreports.com
Giuliani: 24%
Huckabee: 13%
Thompson: 13%
Romney: 13%
McCain: 11%
Reuters/Zogby Poll (National) (11/21/07): http://www.reuters.com/article/politicsNews/idUSN2061107620071121
Giuliani: 29%
Thompson: 15%
Huckabee: 11%
McCain: 9%
Romney: 9%
For months, folks were digging his grave...now they're "digg"ing his articles.
For months, journalists were writing him off...now they're writing his praises.
For months, critics were singing a dirge...now they're seeing a surge.
Mike Huckabee is on the rise. Grab your board and catch the wave...it'll soon be a tsunami!
Mike Huckabee: the 21st Century Reagan, this generation's "Great Communicator".