Monday, September 21, 2009
Friday, July 24, 2009
Leader of the Pack
From HucksArmy.com
July 23, 2009
Washington Post has just released a 2012 GOP primary/caucus poll that shows Gov. Mike Huckabee leading the way. The poll shows strong support for Gov. Huckabee if he decides to build on his second place finish in the 2008 Republican Primary.
27. (ASKED OF REPUBLICANS AND GOP-LEANING INDEPENDENTS) If the 2012 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were (READ LIST) for whom would you vote?
Mike Huckabee 26%
Mitt Romney 21%
Sarah Palin 19%
Newt Gingrich 10%
Tim Pawlenty 4%
Jeb Bush 3%
Haley Barbour 1%
Bobby Jindal (vol.) 2%
Charlie Crist (vol.) *
Other/None of these/Would not vote/No opinion 14%This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone July 15-18, 2009, among a random national sample of 1,001 adults including users of both conventional and cellular phones. The results from the full survey have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.
SOURCE: Washington Post-ABC News Poll
Wednesday, February 27, 2008
Debate Invitation: Huck Says 'Yes', Mac Says...
"I look forward to discussing the issues that are important to the people of America such as health care, education, energy independence, terrorism and national security," Huckabee wrote in his letter of acceptance. "I will clear my schedule to make time for this important debate, provided Sen. McCain participates, otherwise we will keep our current campaign schedule."
On Tuesday, Huckabee challenged Sen. McCain to a Lincoln- Douglas Style debate, but has yet to receive an acceptance from Sen. McCain.
The Values Voter debate is scheduled to be held at the Marriott Riverwalk, 711 E. Riverwalk St. in San Antonio, Tex.
Source: http://pressmediawire.com/article.cfm?articleID=5589
Monday, February 18, 2008
New Wisconsin Poll: HuckaBOOM
| Wisconsin | ||
| Likely Republican Primary Voters | Feb 6-7 | Feb 15-16 |
| Huckabee | 4% | 42% |
| McCain | 51% | 46% |
| Paul | 7% | 4% |
| Romney | 29% | ni |
| Someone else | 1% | 1% |
| Undecided | 8% | 7% |
Source: http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres08/wirep8-702.html
Saturday, February 16, 2008
How McCain May Lose the Nomination
Mike Huckabee is ready to take this campaign to a brokered convention...and the following article explains just how REAL that possibility is...
(February 14, excerpted)
"The John McCain camp informed us yesterday that it is "mathematically impossible" for Mike Huckabee to win the nomination. What they won't say is that McCain stands a good chance of losing the nomination as long as Huckabee stays in the race (bold, J. Morris).
"Huckabee only has to win half of the remaining delegates to block McCain from the nomination (bold, J. Morris). And even if he falls a few short of that, many of the delegates in McCain's column will be "unbound" delegates who may in fact vote for anyone they choose on the first ballot.
"This leads one to wonder: If it's really "mathematically impossible," then why does Huckabee want to be in the race? And why does John McCain so badly want him out?
"Simply: Huckabee does not need to "win" in order for McCain to lose!
"McCain will not be the nominee until he has 1,191 bound delegates pledged to him. John McCain is ahead with an estimated 804 delegates after Tuesday's contests compared to 240 for Mike Huckabee and 14 for Ron Paul.
"Can no one in the media do the math? Or is it that they think the rest of us are too stupid to follow it? There are 774 delegates left to win. If John McCain has exactly 804 delegates (and 18 of these are uncommitted delegates who are still able to change their mind) then he needs an additional 387 to clinch the nomination with 1,191.
"Ironically half of 774 is exactly 387!
"So where is the mathematical impossibility here?
"Huckabee only needs to get 51 percent of the remaining delegates to block McCain! (bold, J. Morris). Considering the results of the last week alone, he is more than able to do this (bold, J. Morris).
"Even though McCain is the delegate leader, unless reaches 1,191 delegates, he cannot win in the first round of the convention. If he loses and it goes to the second round for a vote, he is not guaranteed any of those delegates. Bound or pledged delegates are only committed to the winner of the primary to vote for that candidate in the first round. At the convention, if McCain does not get 51% of the delegate vote on the first round, then they vote again. In the next round, delegates can vote for anyone.
"...Here's another amazing fact. Not all the delegates amassed by McCain are bound to vote for him in the first round! Each state allots both "bound" and "unbound" delegates. (I've been calling them "super delegates" in my other posts, but in reality this term is only used for the Democrat primaries.) The Democrat super delegates are party insiders likely to support the established frontrunner, while the Republican uncommitted delegates are similar, but they are more likely to vote for anyone they choose in the first round.
"McCain currently has 796 bound delegates and 18 unbound delegates. McCain needs 395 bound delegates to reach 1191 of the remaining states.
"Now here's the math (here I've again used my blue, red, purple code):
Likely for McCain
Likely for Huckabee
Likely for either
Wisconsin - 37 bound and 3 unbound
Puerto Rico - 20 bound and 3 unbound
Texas - 137 bound and 3 unbound!
Ohio - 0 bound and 88 unbound!
Rhode Island - 17 bound and 3 unbound
Vermont - 17 bound
Mississippi - 36 bound and 3 unbound
Pennsylvania - 0 bound and 74 unbound!
North Carolina - 69 bound!
Indiana - 27 bound and 30 unbound
Nebraska - 30 bound and 3 unbound
Hawaii - 20 bound
Kentucky - 45 bound
Oregon - 27 bound and 3 unbound
Idaho - 26 bound and 6 unbound
New Mexico - 29 bound and 3 unbound
South Dakota - 24 bound and 3 unbound
"There are 561 bound delegates left. If we are speaking of the number of bound delegates that John McCain must win, then he needs 71% of the remaining 561 to reach 1191 bound delegates.
"Huckabee will probably win Mississippi, Nebraska, Kentucky, and South Dakota. If this happens, then McCain would have to win just about every remaining delegate to be guaranteed enough bound delegates to win the nomination, and that is not likely to happen.
"In fact, if Huckabee can win Texas and North Carolina it becomes really interesting once again. Texas, Mississippi, North Carolina, Nebraska, Kentucky, Idaho and South Dakota have 385 total delegates up for grabs. Just winning these states along with some delegates from close contests in other states could block the nomination from McCain.
"The media pundits lump both bound and unbound delegates in their totals. This is very misleading. Huckabee may block McCain in the first round delegate vote at the convention and then win on a second, third or fourth ballot. Until someone has a majority, the candidates keep striking deals and the delegates keep voting.
"Abraham Lincoln won the nomination on the fourth ballot in the Republican convention in 1860 although William Seward was the pre-convention favorite.
"So while unlikely, if there is enough dissent in the GOP come summer, McCain could be denied the nomination if he doesn't have enough bound delegates. But even more likely, if he falls short of 1191 in both bound and unbound delegates, then a conservative coalition could arise that would nominate Huckabee or another conservative as the Republican candidate for President of the United States."
Yes, there IS yet hope. Go Mike Huckabee!
Huckabee Will Win Wisconsin
"Barack Obama and Mike Huckabee will win Tuesday’s Wisconsin presidential primary...."
Yep, a brokered GOP convention may just be on the horizon...
Fantastic news for conservatives...
McCain's worst nightmare...
American's last, best Hope...
Friday, February 15, 2008
Huckabee Nets Most on the Net
| 1. | www.mikehuckabee.com | 42.44% |
| 2. | www.ronpaul2008.com | 31.2% |
| 3. | www.johnmccain.com | 26.36% |
Thursday, February 14, 2008
"My Commitment to You"
I am seeking the Presidency because I care deeply about important issues facing America—Life, Marriage, the Fair Tax, the Second Amendment, American Border Security and Sovereignty. I am as committed to those issues as I ever was, and my campaigning around the country has convinced that the majority of Republicans want me to continue to fight for these and other conservative causes. So I will.
I know all about the rumors swirling around. That why I just went on national news show this afternoon, to knock those rumors down. I am still in this race. As I have said all along, I am in this race until someone gets to 1191 delegates. That has not happened yet, and so I will keep campaigning for the Republican nomination. Period. That’s my ironclad commitment to my supporters.
Monday, February 11, 2008
Major Huckmentum in Virginia
Big Movement in Huckabee's Direction in Virginia (bold mine)
- Eve of VA GOP Primary 2/11/08: Huckabee Closes-In On McCain: Big movement in Virginia following Mike Huckabee's strong showing over the weekend in Louisiana, Kansas and Washington state. On the eve of the Virginia Republican Primary, it's John McCain 48%, Mike Huckabee 37%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA tracking poll released 72 hours ago, McCain is down 9, Huckabee is up 12. McCain had led by 32, now leads by 11. Among Conservative voters, McCain had led by 21, now trails by 5. Among Pro-Life voters, McCain had led by 20 points, now trails by 6. Among voters in Southeast VA, McCain had led by 28, now trails by 12. Among voters focused on Immigration, McCain had led by 16, now trails by 17. Among voters who attend religious services regularly, McCain had led by 24, now trails by 2.
Sunday, February 10, 2008
Washington Caucus Update
On to Viriginia, Delaware, and D.C.! There is yet HOPE.
"We the People" or "We the WA State Party"?
"For safe and secure elections...
To make sure every vote counts..."
I wish his fellow Washington Republicans felt the same way...
The Washington State Republican Party has chosen to NOT COUNT the last 13% of yesterday's caucus votes!
That sounds American, doesn't it?
How can they do this...and why?
Could it be that they are protecting their presumptive nominee?
Could it be that they don't want McCain to experience what his rival did in Missouri?
Huckabee lost Missouri in the last 9% of reporting precincts.
PLEASE: CONTACT WASHINGTON'S REPUBLICAN PARTY, AND PETITION FOR THE VOICE OF THE PEOPLE.
You can do so at: comments@wsrp.org
If I were John McCain...
Washington Stops Counting at 87.2%
"The Washington State GOP, with 87.2 percent reporting, discontinued the counting process. We are looking into the matter. We are committed to making certain EVERY vote is counted. We will keep you posted."
I guess the Washington State Republican party is tired of democracy...
Saturday, February 9, 2008
Huckabee Wins Louisiana!
Source: http://www.reuters.com/article/politicsNews/idUSN1055815420080210
Wolf Blitzer Interview & CPAC Speech
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/02/09/huckabee-its-called-an-election/#comment-503270
You can also view Mike's tremendous speech before the CPAC this morning at:
http://www.hucksarmy.com/videos/HuckCPAC2008.html
Huckabee Wins Kansas: Nearly 3-1!
Huckabee Beats McCain in Kansas
By Eric Pianin and Chris Cillizza
washingtonpost.com Staff Writers
Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee defeated Sen. John McCain in the Kansas Republican caucuses today, after resisting pressure to end his bid for the Republican presidential nomination in favor of McCain.
With all precints reporting, Huckabee beat McCain, 60 percent to 24 percent, with 11 percent for Rep. Ron Paul (R-Tex.). Huckabee's victory follows a string of four wins in the South and one in West Virginia on Super Tuesday this week. At stake today were 36 of Kansas's 39 delegates to the Republican National Convention this summer. Huckabee appears to have picked up 33 of those....
Friday, February 8, 2008
Dr. Dobson for Huckabee: The Official Endorsement
Special Alert
Feb. 7, 2008Dr. James Dobson issues the following statement tonight, speaking as a private citizen.
I am endorsing Gov. Mike Huckabee for President of the United States today. My decision comes in the wake of my statement on Super Tuesday that I could not vote for Sen. John McCain, even if he goes on to win the Republican nomination. His record on the institution of the family and other conservative issues makes his candidacy a matter of conscience and concern for me.
That left two pro-family candidates whom I could support, but I was reluctant to choose between them. However, the decision by Gov. Mitt Romney to put his campaign “on hold” changes the political landscape. The remaining candidate for whom I could vote is Gov. Huckabee. His unwavering positions on the social issues, notably the institution of marriage, the importance of faith and the sanctity of human life, resonate deeply with me and with many others. That is why I will support Gov. Huckabee through the remaining primaries, and will vote for him in the general election if he should get the nomination. Obviously, the governor faces an uphill struggle, given the delegates already committed to Sen. McCain. Nevertheless, I believe he is our best remaining choice for President of the United States.
(NOTE: Dr. Dobson made these statements as a private citizen. This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as a reflection of the opinions of Focus on the Family or Focus on the Family Action.)
NEWS RELEASE: "See You at the Inauguration!"
From: Ed Rollins, Campaign Chairman; Chip Saltsman, Campaign Manager
Re: Our Path to Victory at the Minneapolis-St. Paul convention
Too many Republicans have tried to turn this nomination battle into a coronation, not a series of further election contests. Big mistake on their part. They are wrong. We know that we are running an underdog campaign, but that’s nothing new—we have always been the underdog. And yet a whole lot of onetime “overdogs” are now on the sidelines, licking their wounds. The Republican National Convention is seven long months away; a lot can happen in that much time. A lot will happen.
But in the meantime, as you all know, Governor Huckabee is not a quitter. He has never shirked from a challenge, and he never will. He has always told us—and personally reaffirmed to us just today—that he is in this race to win. That is, to win the Republican presidential nomination, and to win the White House. Why? Because he cares deeply about the issues that inspired him to get into politics in the first place—back in the 60s, when he started studying the works of the great conservative thinkers and writers, back in the 70s, when he was an ardent supporter of another underdog Republican. And what was that fellow’s name? Oh yes—it was Ronald Reagan.
So don’t let anyone tell you that it’s over! In fact, as of today, no fewer than 27 states, districts, and territories have not yet had a chance to vote . That includes such big states as Texas (Chuck Norris’ home state, ‘nuff said), Ohio , and Pennsylvania . All the Republicans and Republican-minded independents in those states want to be part of the process, too, and they deserve to have a choice put before them. Folks don’t want the Republican Establishment to pick the nominee for them, through a premature rush to judgment, and they sure...don’t want the media to pick the nominee!
We note that in many of the hottest contests so far, the vote has been divided into thirds—typically, about one-third for Governor Huckabee, one third for Senator McCain, and one third for all the other candidates. And as you know, typically, Governor Huckabee has done best among hardcore Republicans—the activist base. That’s one reason why we are looking forward to Governor Huckabee’s speech to the legendary CPAC, the Conservative Political Action Conference, in DC tomorrow morning. You’d better believe that the folks gathered at the Omni Shoreham hotel are the go-getters who make or break primary elections. Just wait till they get a load of Mike Huckabee!
We are confident that we will get most of the activists, the folks who work the hardest because they care the most about the issues. In addition, we note that many of the jurisdictions that have already voted have merely had the first round of their delegate-selection process. To be frank, there’s still plenty of time for politicking, as Republicans really focus on the question of who should lead their party into the November election. Who’s the most stalwart champion of Republican and conservative values? Who’s the most articulate and effective campaigner? We know the answer to those questions—that’s why we have been working our hearts out for Mike Huckabee. But soon, everyone paying attention will know that, too. As the campaign season grinds on—and let’s again remember, this is just February!—there will be plenty of time for reflection and reconsideration, especially among those hundreds of delegates pledged to candidates who have now dropped out.
As we saw in West Virginia on Tuesday—where Governor Huckabee swooped in on the day of the state convention and won a decisive victory that changed the tone of the remaining Super Tuesday coverage—a single good speech from our candidate is often worth more than all the tens of millions of dollars, and all the big-shot endorsements, that the other candidates have been able to drum up.
Indeed, it’s interesting that Mike Huckabee has done so well in the states so critical to Republican prospects this November. That is, those “swing states” that are essential building blocks of a Republican victory coalition this year. Let’s face it: This November, we’re not likely to be looking forward to a GOP landslide! The last two presidential elections were close—the GOP won 271 electoral votes in ’00, and 286 in ’04—and we fully expect the ’08 election to be hard-fought and close, too, as both parties wrestle to get the majority of those 538 electoral votes. What does all this mean to Republican activists? Well, it means that the next Republican nominee has to be able to nail down the electoral votes of such “must-win” states in the South and Border States—exactly the states where Mike Huckabee has done so well this year. Hard-nosed political activists know that it doesn’t do much good, November-wise, to run well in the blue bicoastal states. Sure, it would be great to carry New York and Massachusetts and California, but those mostly liberal states aren’t a part of any gut-it-out “270” strategy. (In fact, we think that Mike Huckabee would actually run stronger among traditional Independent and Democratic constituencies than any other Republican, but that’ll be the subject of a future memo.)
And now, with the endorsement of Dr. James Dobson, who is the “gold standard” of social conservatism, we fully expect that Movement Conservatives—those who fight the good fight on Life, on Marriage, on the Second Amendment—will increasingly rally to our cause. In fact, come to think of it, any American who reveres the US Constitution has a stake in Mike Huckabee’s success, because he has been an unstinting proponent of all our Constitutional freedoms, including the First Amendment, which he believes has been wrongly abridged by wrong-headed campaign finance “reform” legislation. Of course, there is one amendment that MH doesn’t like: The 16 th Amendment. That one was a mistake, which he will fix with the Fair Tax!
Mike Huckabee has great respect for John McCain . He has always defended the senior senator from Arizona against unfair and scurrilous attacks, and he always will. And because MH is who he is, he will continue to campaign as he always has—in an honorable and honest way. He will draw distinctions, he will debate and debate hard, but he will always be civil and decent. In fact, even many McCain supporters have told us that they appreciate the constructive role that Governor Huckabee can play in the months to come, because a vigorous discussion will keep all the media “oxygen” from migrating over to the heated Democratic contest.
Faith. Family. Freedom. Those are the words that have guided Mike Huckabee this far, and they will continue to guide him, and us, all the way to the White House next January. The 44 th governor of Arkansas will be the 44 th President of the United States.
See you at the Inauguration!Source: http://www.arktimes.com/blogs/arkansasblog/2008/02/see_you_at_the_inauguration.aspx
McCain on Huckabee: "Viable" & "Formidable"
- Source: http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/08/us/politics/08cnd-bush.html?ref=us
"McCain said former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee is “still very formidable” and
acknowledged he is not sure how he'll do in Washtingon's Saturday precinct caucuses."
- Source: http://www.heraldnet.com/article/20080208/NEWS01/675420204&news01ad=1
